Poll of polls

Valgvake-snarveier: Siste oppdateringer | Stortinget nå | Mandatberegning | Utvikling valgnatten | Beste målinger

USA: Alle 50 stater

Publisert 22. september 2020. Sist endret 22. september 2020.

1) Tabellen bygger på siste måling i alle USAs 50 stater, dvs. ferskeste fra RCP eller 538.

2) Bidens ledelse med denne beregningen er 8,5 prosentpoeng nasjonalt (50,7 vs 42,2).

3) Vår beregning bygget på 17 jevne stater i 2016, og en forutsetning om samme relative endring i landet ellers, gir Biden +8,9 (50,5 vs 41,6).

4) Takk til Jon Aabye.

50 stater – Trump vs Biden

Basert på ferskeste måling(er) for hver stat iht RCP + 538 innen 20.09.20

Stat Trump % Biden % Andre % Sum Publ.dato Trump Biden
California 4414 31,0 8 614 60,5 1210 8,5 14238 17.sep 55
Florida 4 181 44,0 4 466 47,0 855 9,0 9 502 17.sep 29
Texas 4 216 47,0 4 171 46,5 583 6,5 8 970 08.sep 38
New York 2 466 32,0 4 855 63,0 385 5,0 7706 25.aug 29
Pennsylvania 2 712 44,0 3 063 49,7 388 6,3 6 163 18.sep 20
Illinois 2 145 38,5 3 092 55,5 334 6,0 5572 20
Ohio 2 657 48,0 2 491 45,0 388 7,0 5 536 18.sep 18
Michigan 1 944 40,3 2 412 50,0 468 9,7 4 824 18.sep 16
North Carolina 2 086 44,0 2 181 46,0 474 10,0 4 742 18.sep 15
Georgia 1 946 47,0 1 926 46,5 269 6,5 4 141 09.sep 16
Virginia 1 553 39,0 2 110 53,0 319 8,0 3 982 15.sep 13
New Jersey 1 562 40,0 2 265 58,0 78 2,0 3906 07.sep 14
Massachussetts 1 031 31,0 2 294 69,0 0 0,0 3325 28.aug 11
Washington 929 28,0 2 057 62,0 332 10,0 3317 27.jul 12
Wisconsin 1 259 42,3 1 479 49,7 238 8,0 2 976 18.sep 10
Minnesota 1 207 41,0 1 679 57,0 59 2,0 2 945 16.sep 10
Missouri 1 499 53,0 1 273 45,0 57 2,0 2828 19.sep 10
Maryland 974 35,0 1 641 59,0 167 6,0 2782 23.mai 10
Colorado 1 140 41,0 1 473 53,0 167 6,0 2 780 14.sep 9
Indiana 1 461 53,0 1 075 39,0 221 8,0 2757 09.sep 11
Arizona 1 120 43,0 1 250 48,0 234 9,0 2 604 18.sep 11
Tennessee 1 279 51,0 1 053 42,0 176 7,0 2508 08.jun 11
Alabama 1 231 58,0 764 36,0 127 6,0 2123 03.aug 9
South Carolina 1 072 51,0 946 45,0 84 4,0 2102 16.sep 9
Louisiana 1 102 54,3 769 37,9 158 7,8 2029 24.aug 8
Oregon 780 39,0 1 021 51,0 200 10,0 2001 10.sep 7
Kentucky 1 116 58,0 731 38,0 77 4,0 1924 16.sep 8
Connecticut 526 32,0 855 52,0 263 16,0 1644 14.aug 7
Iowa 736 47,0 705 45,0 125 8,0 1 566 09.sep 6
Oklahoma 857 59,0 508 35,0 87 6,0 1452 08.sep 7
Mississippi 642 53,0 521 43,0 48 4,0 1211 12.aug 6
Kansas 573 48,0 489 41,0 131 11,0 1193 11.aug 6
Utah 606 53,0 400 35,0 137 12,0 1144 17.sep 6
Arkansas 531 47,0 509 45,0 90 8,0 1130 13.jun 6
Nevada 473 42,0 518 46,0 135 12,0 1 125 12.sep 6
Nebraska 496 58,7 285 33,7 64 7,6 845 4 1 Biden CD2
New Mexico 311 39,0 431 54,0 56 7,0 798 05.sep 5
New Hampshire 313 42,0 335 45,0 97 13,0 745 12.sep 4
Maine 285 38,0 412 55,0 52 7,0 749 18.sep 4
West-Virginia 476 66,0 224 31,0 22 3,0 721 14.jan 5
Idaho 415 60,0 235 34,0 41 6,0 691 06.sep 4
Montana 251 50,0 216 43,0 35 7,0 502 09.sep 3
Rhode Island 181 38,9 253 54,4 31 6,7 465 4
Delaware 164 37,0 258 58,0 22 5,0 444 25.aug 3
Hawai 124 29,0 240 56,0 64 15,0 429 04.aug 4
South Dakota 228 61,6 117 31,6 25 6,8 370 3
North Dakota 190 55,0 131 38,0 24 7,0 345 08.mar 3
Alaska 159 50,0 140 44,0 19 6,0 318 24.jul 3
Vermont 95 30,3 178 56,7 41 13,0 314 3
Washington D.C. 13 4,2 283 90,7 16 5,1 312 3
Wyoming 174 68,2 56 22,0 25 9,8 255 3
Projection 57900 42,2 69 449 50,7 9701 7,1 137051 203 335
Justert 44,1 44,1 52,9 3,0

Johan Giertsen

Del på Facebook